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84 posts
AI Timelines
15 posts
Agent Foundations
Dialogue (format)
125
Updating my AI timelines
Matthew Barnett
15d
40
33
How important are accurate AI timelines for the optimal spending schedule on AI risk interventions?
Tristan Cook
4d
2
394
Why I think strong general AI is coming soon
porby
2mo
126
182
Planes are still decades away from displacing most bird jobs
guzey
25d
13
48
Human-level Diplomacy was my fire alarm
Lao Mein
27d
15
13
Benchmarks for Comparing Human and AI Intelligence
ViktorThink
9d
4
88
Disagreement with bio anchors that lead to shorter timelines
Marius Hobbhahn
1mo
16
332
Two-year update on my personal AI timelines
Ajeya Cotra
4mo
60
0
AGI in our lifetimes is wishful thinking
niknoble
1mo
21
18
Is the speed of training large models going to increase significantly in the near future due to Cerebras Andromeda?
Amal
1mo
11
25
Foresight for AGI Safety Strategy: Mitigating Risks and Identifying Golden Opportunities
jacquesthibs
15d
4
44
Has anyone increased their AGI timelines?
Darren McKee
1mo
13
67
Human-level Full-Press Diplomacy (some bare facts).
Cleo Nardo
28d
7
38
AGI Timelines Are Mostly Not Strategically Relevant To Alignment
johnswentworth
3mo
35
64
Clarifying the Agent-Like Structure Problem
johnswentworth
2mo
14
33
You won’t solve alignment without agent foundations
Mikhail Samin
1mo
3
24
Bridging Expected Utility Maximization and Optimization
Whispermute
4mo
5
91
Prize and fast track to alignment research at ALTER
Vanessa Kosoy
3mo
4
314
Why Agent Foundations? An Overly Abstract Explanation
johnswentworth
9mo
54
9
Re: Second-Order Logic: The Controversy
abramdemski
9y
7
5
Does agent foundations cover all future ML systems?
Jonas Hallgren
4mo
0
87
Challenges with Breaking into MIRI-Style Research
Chris_Leong
11mo
15
37
Security Mindset and Takeoff Speeds
DanielFilan
2y
23
43
S.E.A.R.L.E's COBOL room
Stuart_Armstrong
9y
36
36
Math is Subjunctively Objective
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
118
46
Three Dialogues on Identity
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
47
34
Zeno walks into a bar
lsusr
3y
4
79
Another take on agent foundations: formalizing zero-shot reasoning
zhukeepa
4y
20