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84 posts
AI Timelines
15 posts
Agent Foundations
Dialogue (format)
242
Two-year update on my personal AI timelines
Ajeya Cotra
4mo
60
200
Are we in an AI overhang?
Andy Jones
2y
109
195
What do ML researchers think about AI in 2022?
KatjaGrace
4mo
33
182
Biology-Inspired AGI Timelines: The Trick That Never Works
Eliezer Yudkowsky
1y
143
181
A concrete bet offer to those with short AI timelines
Matthew Barnett
8mo
104
173
human psycholinguists: a critical appraisal
nostalgebraist
2y
59
167
Jeff Hawkins on neuromorphic AGI within 20 years
Steven Byrnes
3y
24
151
Comments on Carlsmith's “Is power-seeking AI an existential risk?”
So8res
1y
13
144
Why I think strong general AI is coming soon
porby
2mo
126
143
Updating my AI timelines
Matthew Barnett
15d
40
141
Draft report on AI timelines
Ajeya Cotra
2y
56
133
Fun with +12 OOMs of Compute
Daniel Kokotajlo
1y
78
131
Christiano, Cotra, and Yudkowsky on AI progress
Eliezer Yudkowsky
1y
95
128
Planes are still decades away from displacing most bird jobs
guzey
25d
13
180
Why Agent Foundations? An Overly Abstract Explanation
johnswentworth
9mo
54
71
Security Mindset and Takeoff Speeds
DanielFilan
2y
23
61
S.E.A.R.L.E's COBOL room
Stuart_Armstrong
9y
36
60
Three Dialogues on Identity
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
47
57
Challenges with Breaking into MIRI-Style Research
Chris_Leong
11mo
15
42
Clarifying the Agent-Like Structure Problem
johnswentworth
2mo
14
40
Zeno walks into a bar
lsusr
3y
4
39
Prize and fast track to alignment research at ALTER
Vanessa Kosoy
3mo
4
39
Another take on agent foundations: formalizing zero-shot reasoning
zhukeepa
4y
20
36
Math is Subjunctively Objective
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
118
25
My take on agent foundations: formalizing metaphilosophical competence
zhukeepa
4y
6
22
Bridging Expected Utility Maximization and Optimization
Whispermute
4mo
5
21
Re: Second-Order Logic: The Controversy
abramdemski
9y
7
9
You won’t solve alignment without agent foundations
Mikhail Samin
1mo
3