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84 posts
AI Timelines
15 posts
Agent Foundations
Dialogue (format)
143
Updating my AI timelines
Matthew Barnett
15d
40
21
How important are accurate AI timelines for the optimal spending schedule on AI risk interventions?
Tristan Cook
4d
2
128
Planes are still decades away from displacing most bird jobs
guzey
25d
13
54
Human-level Diplomacy was my fire alarm
Lao Mein
27d
15
56
Disagreement with bio anchors that lead to shorter timelines
Marius Hobbhahn
1mo
16
144
Why I think strong general AI is coming soon
porby
2mo
126
242
Two-year update on my personal AI timelines
Ajeya Cotra
4mo
60
33
Human-level Full-Press Diplomacy (some bare facts).
Cleo Nardo
28d
7
195
What do ML researchers think about AI in 2022?
KatjaGrace
4mo
33
97
How might we align transformative AI if it’s developed very soon?
HoldenKarnofsky
3mo
17
32
Has anyone increased their AGI timelines?
Darren McKee
1mo
13
181
A concrete bet offer to those with short AI timelines
Matthew Barnett
8mo
104
12
Injecting some numbers into the AGI debate - by Boaz Barak
Jsevillamol
27d
0
3
Benchmarks for Comparing Human and AI Intelligence
ViktorThink
9d
4
180
Why Agent Foundations? An Overly Abstract Explanation
johnswentworth
9mo
54
42
Clarifying the Agent-Like Structure Problem
johnswentworth
2mo
14
39
Prize and fast track to alignment research at ALTER
Vanessa Kosoy
3mo
4
9
You won’t solve alignment without agent foundations
Mikhail Samin
1mo
3
22
Bridging Expected Utility Maximization and Optimization
Whispermute
4mo
5
57
Challenges with Breaking into MIRI-Style Research
Chris_Leong
11mo
15
71
Security Mindset and Takeoff Speeds
DanielFilan
2y
23
40
Zeno walks into a bar
lsusr
3y
4
39
Another take on agent foundations: formalizing zero-shot reasoning
zhukeepa
4y
20
61
S.E.A.R.L.E's COBOL room
Stuart_Armstrong
9y
36
25
My take on agent foundations: formalizing metaphilosophical competence
zhukeepa
4y
6
60
Three Dialogues on Identity
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
47
36
Math is Subjunctively Objective
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
118
21
Re: Second-Order Logic: The Controversy
abramdemski
9y
7