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84 posts
AI Timelines
15 posts
Agent Foundations
Dialogue (format)
287
Two-year update on my personal AI timelines
Ajeya Cotra
4mo
60
269
Why I think strong general AI is coming soon
porby
2mo
126
255
Are we in an AI overhang?
Andy Jones
2y
109
217
What do ML researchers think about AI in 2022?
KatjaGrace
4mo
33
212
Fun with +12 OOMs of Compute
Daniel Kokotajlo
1y
78
207
Draft report on AI timelines
Ajeya Cotra
2y
56
195
A concrete bet offer to those with short AI timelines
Matthew Barnett
8mo
104
181
Biology-Inspired AGI Timelines: The Trick That Never Works
Eliezer Yudkowsky
1y
143
174
human psycholinguists: a critical appraisal
nostalgebraist
2y
59
167
Jeff Hawkins on neuromorphic AGI within 20 years
Steven Byrnes
3y
24
164
Deepmind's Gato: Generalist Agent
Daniel Kokotajlo
7mo
61
155
Planes are still decades away from displacing most bird jobs
guzey
25d
13
137
Comments on Carlsmith's “Is power-seeking AI an existential risk?”
So8res
1y
13
134
Updating my AI timelines
Matthew Barnett
15d
40
247
Why Agent Foundations? An Overly Abstract Explanation
johnswentworth
9mo
54
72
Challenges with Breaking into MIRI-Style Research
Chris_Leong
11mo
15
65
Prize and fast track to alignment research at ALTER
Vanessa Kosoy
3mo
4
59
Another take on agent foundations: formalizing zero-shot reasoning
zhukeepa
4y
20
54
Security Mindset and Takeoff Speeds
DanielFilan
2y
23
53
Three Dialogues on Identity
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
47
53
Clarifying the Agent-Like Structure Problem
johnswentworth
2mo
14
52
S.E.A.R.L.E's COBOL room
Stuart_Armstrong
9y
36
37
Zeno walks into a bar
lsusr
3y
4
36
Math is Subjunctively Objective
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
118
23
Bridging Expected Utility Maximization and Optimization
Whispermute
4mo
5
21
You won’t solve alignment without agent foundations
Mikhail Samin
1mo
3
20
My take on agent foundations: formalizing metaphilosophical competence
zhukeepa
4y
6
15
Re: Second-Order Logic: The Controversy
abramdemski
9y
7