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alive
22 posts
Futurism
18 posts
Absurdity Heuristic
Hindsight Bias
143
What will 2040 probably look like assuming no singularity?
Daniel Kokotajlo
1y
87
25
Solstice Movie Review: Summer Wars
JohnBuridan
6mo
6
27
The Accord
Timothy Underwood
1y
1
21
The Price Of Space Is Friendship
sxae
1y
19
26
On Becoming Clueless
Martin Sustrik
3y
2
29
Scrying for outcomes where the problem of deepfakes has been solved
mako yass
3y
10
33
Could we send a message to the distant future?
paulfchristiano
4y
23
25
A Quick Taxonomy of Arguments for Theoretical Engineering Capabilities
Ruby
3y
1
27
Isaac Asimov's predictions for 2019 from 1984
Jan_Kulveit
3y
1
60
After critical event W happens, they still won't believe you
Eliezer Yudkowsky
9y
107
31
Lone Genius Bias and Returns on Additional Researchers
ChrisHallquist
9y
64
11
What could be done with RNA and DNA sequencing that's 1000x cheaper than it's now?
ChristianKl
4y
7
20
Thoughts on minimizing designer baby drama
John_Maxwell
7y
195
25
Against easy superintelligence: the unforeseen friction argument
Stuart_Armstrong
9y
48
165
Talking Snakes: A Cautionary Tale
Scott Alexander
13y
232
141
Stranger Than History
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
336
105
Universal Law
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
26
78
Hindsight bias
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
25
61
The Correct Contrarian Cluster
Eliezer Yudkowsky
13y
255
37
Common sense as a prior
Nick_Beckstead
9y
215
54
The Zombie Preacher of Somerset
Scott Alexander
13y
34
45
Absurdity Heuristic, Absurdity Bias
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
10
35
Why is the Future So Absurd?
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
17
24
Existing Absurd Technologies
Desrtopa
11y
59
8
Glide #1: Learning Rationality from Absurdity
musicmage4114
4y
0
21
What is bunk?
12y
108
20
Request: Interesting Invertible Facts
Eliezer Yudkowsky
12y
50
25
Beware the Unsurprised
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
3