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alive
22 posts
Futurism
18 posts
Absurdity Heuristic
Hindsight Bias
116
What will 2040 probably look like assuming no singularity?
Daniel Kokotajlo
1y
87
22
Solstice Movie Review: Summer Wars
JohnBuridan
6mo
6
22
The Accord
Timothy Underwood
1y
1
34
On Becoming Clueless
Martin Sustrik
3y
2
36
Isaac Asimov's predictions for 2019 from 1984
Jan_Kulveit
3y
1
13
The Price Of Space Is Friendship
sxae
1y
19
29
A Quick Taxonomy of Arguments for Theoretical Engineering Capabilities
Ruby
3y
1
37
Could we send a message to the distant future?
paulfchristiano
4y
23
26
Scrying for outcomes where the problem of deepfakes has been solved
mako yass
3y
10
77
After critical event W happens, they still won't believe you
Eliezer Yudkowsky
9y
107
39
Against easy superintelligence: the unforeseen friction argument
Stuart_Armstrong
9y
48
37
Lone Genius Bias and Returns on Additional Researchers
ChrisHallquist
9y
64
16
What could be done with RNA and DNA sequencing that's 1000x cheaper than it's now?
ChristianKl
4y
7
27
Thoughts on minimizing designer baby drama
John_Maxwell
7y
195
173
Talking Snakes: A Cautionary Tale
Scott Alexander
13y
232
107
Stranger Than History
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
336
52
Common sense as a prior
Nick_Beckstead
9y
215
89
Universal Law
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
26
66
The Correct Contrarian Cluster
Eliezer Yudkowsky
13y
255
72
Hindsight bias
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
25
61
The Zombie Preacher of Somerset
Scott Alexander
13y
34
51
Absurdity Heuristic, Absurdity Bias
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
10
34
Existing Absurd Technologies
Desrtopa
11y
59
42
Why is the Future So Absurd?
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
17
29
Request: Interesting Invertible Facts
Eliezer Yudkowsky
12y
50
9
Glide #1: Learning Rationality from Absurdity
musicmage4114
4y
0
36
Beware the Unsurprised
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
3
13
Attempts to Debias Hindsight Backfire!
Gram_Stone
6y
9