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alive
22 posts
Futurism
18 posts
Absurdity Heuristic
Hindsight Bias
89
What will 2040 probably look like assuming no singularity?
Daniel Kokotajlo
1y
87
19
Solstice Movie Review: Summer Wars
JohnBuridan
6mo
6
42
On Becoming Clueless
Martin Sustrik
3y
2
17
The Accord
Timothy Underwood
1y
1
45
Isaac Asimov's predictions for 2019 from 1984
Jan_Kulveit
3y
1
33
A Quick Taxonomy of Arguments for Theoretical Engineering Capabilities
Ruby
3y
1
41
Could we send a message to the distant future?
paulfchristiano
4y
23
94
After critical event W happens, they still won't believe you
Eliezer Yudkowsky
9y
107
23
Scrying for outcomes where the problem of deepfakes has been solved
mako yass
3y
10
53
Against easy superintelligence: the unforeseen friction argument
Stuart_Armstrong
9y
48
21
What could be done with RNA and DNA sequencing that's 1000x cheaper than it's now?
ChristianKl
4y
7
43
Lone Genius Bias and Returns on Additional Researchers
ChrisHallquist
9y
64
48
What does the world look like, the day before FAI efforts succeed?
10y
64
34
Thoughts on minimizing designer baby drama
John_Maxwell
7y
195
181
Talking Snakes: A Cautionary Tale
Scott Alexander
13y
232
67
Common sense as a prior
Nick_Beckstead
9y
215
71
The Correct Contrarian Cluster
Eliezer Yudkowsky
13y
255
68
The Zombie Preacher of Somerset
Scott Alexander
13y
34
73
Stranger Than History
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
336
73
Universal Law
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
26
66
Hindsight bias
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
25
44
Existing Absurd Technologies
Desrtopa
11y
59
57
Absurdity Heuristic, Absurdity Bias
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
10
38
Request: Interesting Invertible Facts
Eliezer Yudkowsky
12y
50
49
Why is the Future So Absurd?
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
17
18
Attempts to Debias Hindsight Backfire!
Gram_Stone
6y
9
47
Beware the Unsurprised
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
3
10
Glide #1: Learning Rationality from Absurdity
musicmage4114
4y
0