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meritocratic
regular
democratic
hot
top
alive
105 posts
Forecasts (Specific Predictions)
Prediction Markets
Betting
Kelly Criterion
Black Swans
102 posts
Parenting
Family planning
Developmental Psychology
Polyamory
188
Limits of Current US Prediction Markets (PredictIt Case Study)
aphyer
2y
49
146
Prediction Markets: When Do They Work?
Zvi
4y
18
128
Tales from Prediction Markets
ike
1y
15
118
Unknown Knowns
Zvi
4y
17
110
Launching Forecast, a community for crowdsourced predictions from Facebook
Rebecca Kossnick
2y
15
110
Tyranny of the Epistemic Majority
Scott Garrabrant
28d
9
97
Techniques for probability estimates
Scott Alexander
11y
60
94
Subsidizing Prediction Markets
Zvi
4y
8
94
The Kelly Criterion
Zvi
4y
24
91
Betting with Mandatory Post-Mortem
abramdemski
2y
14
86
Atari early
KatjaGrace
2y
4
83
Kelly *is* (just) about logarithmic utility
abramdemski
1y
20
83
Prediction Markets Are About Being Right
Zvi
4y
7
78
Anti-Corruption Market
lsusr
8mo
22
404
Bets, Bonds, and Kindergarteners
jefftk
1y
35
212
Notes from "Don't Shoot the Dog"
juliawise
1y
10
178
Notes on "The Anthropology of Childhood"
juliawise
2y
10
177
Growing Independence
jefftk
2y
28
144
parenting rules
Dave Orr
1y
9
122
Polyhacking
Alicorn
11y
603
121
Experiences in applying "The Biodeterminist's Guide to Parenting"
juliawise
7y
34
120
Meadow Theory
Duncan_Sabien
9mo
15
116
Experiences raising children in shared housing
juliawise
12mo
4
83
Circle Games
sarahconstantin
3y
15
77
Successful Mentoring on Parenting, Arranged Through LessWrong
supposedlyfun
1y
22
76
How to parent more predictably
jefftk
4y
1
73
Kids Posts Retrospective
jefftk
8mo
1
71
Book Review: How To Talk So Little Kids Will Listen
weft
1y
6