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meritocratic
regular
democratic
hot
top
alive
105 posts
Forecasts (Specific Predictions)
Prediction Markets
Betting
Kelly Criterion
Black Swans
102 posts
Parenting
Family planning
Developmental Psychology
Polyamory
171
Limits of Current US Prediction Markets (PredictIt Case Study)
aphyer
2y
49
144
Prediction Markets: When Do They Work?
Zvi
4y
18
123
Tales from Prediction Markets
ike
1y
15
119
Unknown Knowns
Zvi
4y
17
106
Tyranny of the Epistemic Majority
Scott Garrabrant
28d
9
105
Techniques for probability estimates
Scott Alexander
11y
60
104
Subsidizing Prediction Markets
Zvi
4y
8
102
Betting with Mandatory Post-Mortem
abramdemski
2y
14
92
1001 PredictionBook Nights
gwern
11y
49
91
Launching Forecast, a community for crowdsourced predictions from Facebook
Rebecca Kossnick
2y
15
88
Kelly *is* (just) about logarithmic utility
abramdemski
1y
20
80
Atari early
KatjaGrace
2y
4
80
Bet or update: fixing the will-to-wager assumption
cousin_it
5y
61
79
Anti-Corruption Market
lsusr
8mo
22
333
Bets, Bonds, and Kindergarteners
jefftk
1y
35
181
Notes from "Don't Shoot the Dog"
juliawise
1y
10
170
Growing Independence
jefftk
2y
28
166
Notes on "The Anthropology of Childhood"
juliawise
2y
10
149
Experiences in applying "The Biodeterminist's Guide to Parenting"
juliawise
7y
34
137
Polyhacking
Alicorn
11y
603
128
parenting rules
Dave Orr
1y
9
115
Experiences raising children in shared housing
juliawise
12mo
4
113
Meadow Theory
Duncan_Sabien
9mo
15
99
Circle Games
sarahconstantin
3y
15
85
Preschool: Much Less Than You Wanted To Know
Zvi
4y
15
83
Successful Mentoring on Parenting, Arranged Through LessWrong
supposedlyfun
1y
22
79
“Eating Dirt Benefits Kids” is Basically Made Up
Elizabeth
1y
13
79
Unknown knowns: Why did you choose to be monogamous?
WrongBot
12y
669