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19 posts
AI Timelines
Crucial Considerations
0 posts
315
Two-year update on my personal AI timelines
Ajeya Cotra
4mo
60
296
Are we in an AI overhang?
Andy Jones
2y
109
276
Fun with +12 OOMs of Compute
Daniel Kokotajlo
1y
78
258
Draft report on AI timelines
Ajeya Cotra
2y
56
206
Deepmind's Gato: Generalist Agent
Daniel Kokotajlo
7mo
61
143
Forecasting Thread: AI Timelines
Amandango
2y
95
132
My current framework for thinking about AGI timelines
zhukeepa
2y
5
116
Comments on Carlsmith's “Is power-seeking AI an existential risk?”
So8res
1y
13
115
Extrapolating GPT-N performance
Lanrian
2y
31
110
How might we align transformative AI if it’s developed very soon?
HoldenKarnofsky
3mo
17
84
Disagreement with bio anchors that lead to shorter timelines
Marius Hobbhahn
1mo
16
75
Shulman and Yudkowsky on AI progress
Eliezer Yudkowsky
1y
16
67
A comment on Ajeya Cotra's draft report on AI timelines
Matthew Barnett
9mo
13
62
A review of the Bio-Anchors report
jylin04
2mo
4