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meritocratic
regular
democratic
hot
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alive
21 posts
Betting
12 posts
Kelly Criterion
Black Swans
22
How to place a bet on the end of the world
AllAmericanBreakfast
8mo
13
80
Betting with Mandatory Post-Mortem
abramdemski
2y
14
75
The Inefficient Market Hypothesis
lsusr
2y
19
113
The Kelly Criterion
Zvi
4y
24
45
Bet On Biden
sapphire
2y
89
31
Calculating Kelly
abramdemski
1y
18
33
Betting Thread
Amandango
2y
2
40
Of arguments and wagers
paulfchristiano
2y
6
34
Bets and updating
Eigil Rischel
3y
3
41
Who wants to be a Millionaire?
Bucky
3y
1
15
Ongoing free money at PredictIt
knite
2y
22
38
Bet or update: fixing the will-to-wager assumption
cousin_it
5y
61
89
Techniques for probability estimates
Scott Alexander
11y
60
23
Kelly bettors
DanielFilan
4y
3
114
Tyranny of the Epistemic Majority
Scott Garrabrant
28d
9
10
AGI as a Black Swan Event
Stephen McAleese
16d
8
12
Notes on Caution
David Gross
19d
0
78
Kelly *is* (just) about logarithmic utility
abramdemski
1y
20
41
The Kelly Criterion in 3D
lsusr
1y
17
42
Kelly Bet or Update?
abramdemski
2y
23
65
How to Understand and Mitigate Risk
Matt Goldenberg
3y
30
21
Kelly Betting Discussion
Raemon
1y
1
49
The Art of the Overbet
Zvi
4y
6
16
Generalized Kelly betting
Linda Linsefors
4y
5
8
Kelly Criteria and Two Envelopes
Wei_Dai
10y
1
6
[Discussion] The Kelly criterion and consequences for decision making under uncertainty
Metus
9y
15