Go Back
Choose this branch
Choose this branch
meritocratic
regular
democratic
hot
top
alive
64 posts
Distinctions
Gears-Level
Inside/Outside View
Law and Legal systems
Rationalist Taboo
Risk Management
References (Language)
145 posts
Forecasting & Prediction
Newsletters
Technological Forecasting
36
Why So Many Cookie Banners?
jefftk
2mo
28
333
Taboo "Outside View"
Daniel Kokotajlo
1y
26
216
Almost everyone should be less afraid of lawsuits
alyssavance
1y
16
292
“PR” is corrosive; “reputation” is not.
AnnaSalamon
1y
92
24
Concrete Advice for Forming Inside Views on AI Safety
Neel Nanda
4mo
6
169
Gears-Level Models are Capital Investments
johnswentworth
3y
30
81
The Lens, Progerias and Polycausality
johnswentworth
2y
8
178
Gears in understanding
Valentine
5y
38
88
Gears vs Behavior
johnswentworth
3y
12
71
Adaptive Immune System Aging
johnswentworth
2y
9
72
Material Goods as an Abundant Resource
johnswentworth
2y
9
72
Wrinkles
johnswentworth
3y
15
17
Meaning of Words - An Exercise for Active Thinking
aysajan
10mo
0
68
Homeostasis and “Root Causes” in Aging
johnswentworth
2y
25
5
EA & LW Forums Weekly Summary (12th Dec - 18th Dec 22')
Zoe Williams
14h
0
29
Will Manifold Markets/Metaculus have built-in support for reflective latent variables by 2025?
tailcalled
10d
0
17
EA & LW Forums Weekly Summary (5th Dec - 11th Dec 22')
Zoe Williams
7d
0
432
Beware boasting about non-existent forecasting track records
Jotto999
7mo
110
39
Some research ideas in forecasting
Jsevillamol
1mo
2
19
EA & LW Forums Weekly Summary (14th Nov - 27th Nov 22')
Zoe Williams
21d
1
76
QAPR 4: Inductive biases
Quintin Pope
2mo
2
512
What 2026 looks like
Daniel Kokotajlo
1y
98
91
EA & LW Forums Weekly Summary (21 Aug - 27 Aug 22')
Zoe Williams
3mo
4
23
EA & LW Forums Weekly Summary (7th Nov - 13th Nov 22')
Zoe Williams
1mo
0
37
[MLSN #6]: Transparency survey, provable robustness, ML models that predict the future
Dan H
2mo
0
11
What AI newsletters or substacks about AI do you recommend?
wunan
25d
1
20
EA & LW Forums Weekly Summary (31st Oct - 6th Nov 22')
Zoe Williams
1mo
1
90
The Track Record of Futurists Seems ... Fine
HoldenKarnofsky
5mo
23